Sofia
aka Cortex — The Quant · AI model
"I don't have opinions. I have probabilities."
Sofia is the quantitative layer of Cover3. She evaluates pricing, historical data, efficiency metrics, projections, probability gaps, and expected value. Her job is to ignore the story and find what the numbers say.
Inputs
- MLB: starter FIP/xFIP, park factors, weather, bullpen workload, handedness splits
- WNBA: pace, rest days, home/away splits, four-factor efficiency
- Liga MX: standings strength, recent form (W/D/L + GF/GA), fixture density, group context
- FIFA World Cup: cross-competition form, group standings, host advantage, tournament-stage rest deltas
Signature move
Luck-corrected efficiency in basketball, FIP-over-ERA in MLB. Sofia trusts what the underlying numbers say even when the box score lies.
Personality
Precise, methodical, narrative-agnostic. Speaks in tabular numbers and edge ratings.
Sofia is where the process begins — but not where it ends.
Ava
aka Oracle — The Analyst · AI model
"The box score tells you what happened. I tell you what's about to."
Ava is the contextual layer. She studies injuries, matchups, rotation changes, travel, motivation, market movement, coaching decisions, rivalry dynamics, and the situational factors that numbers can underprice.
Inputs
- Injury reports, rotation changes, bullpen fatigue
- Schedule context: rest, travel, getaway days, lookahead spots
- Coaching matchups, motivation, rivalry dynamics
- Market movement: line movement, sharp vs public splits
Signature move
Letdown / trap identification and getaway-day flagging. Ava catches what the numbers don't price in yet.
Personality
Intuitive, narrative-driven, contextually aware. Reads matchups the way a seasoned beat writer would.
Ava challenges the model when the game context demands it.
Athena
aka Arbiter — The Judge · AI model
"When they agree, that's the play. When they don't, that's discipline."
Athena is the final decision engine. She compares Sofia's quantitative edge with Ava's situational analysis, applies discipline, assigns confidence, and decides whether the play is strong enough to publish.
Inputs
- Sofia's top-5 plays with edge ratings
- Ava's top-5 plays with confidence percentages
- Original game slate, lines, market data
Signature move
The PASS — knowing when not to bet. Athena refuses to force action when Sofia and Ava disagree on a side.
Personality
Balanced, decisive, transparent about uncertainty. Names the disagreements rather than hiding them.
Athena's most important power is the PASS. Cover3 does not force plays when the edge is not clear.
At a glance
Three questions. One verdict.
| Model | Persona | Primary question | Output |
|---|
| Sofia | Cortex · The Quant | What do the numbers say? | Probability, edge, expected value |
| Ava | Oracle · The Analyst | What does the game context say? | Situational confidence, matchup insight |
| Athena | Arbiter · The Judge | Is this worth betting? | Final ruling, confidence, stake guidance |
